Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United Under-21s win with a probability of 74.48%. A draw had a probability of 13.5% and a win for Newcastle United Under-21s had a probability of 12.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United Under-21s win was 3-1 with a probability of 7.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.36%) and 4-1 (6.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 2-2 (4.82%), while for a Newcastle United Under-21s win it was 1-2 (3.01%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United Under-21s would win this match.
Result | ||
Leeds United Under-21s | Draw | Newcastle United Under-21s |
74.48% ( 0.16) | 13.45% ( -0.01) | 12.07% ( -0.14) |
Both teams to score 70.04% ( -0.46) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
82.81% ( -0.3) | 17.19% ( 0.31) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
66.03% ( -0.46) | 33.97% ( 0.46) |
Leeds United Under-21s Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
95.95% ( -0.04) | 4.05% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
82.96% ( -0.14) | 17.04% ( 0.14) |
Newcastle United Under-21s Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.99% ( -0.44) | 27.01% ( 0.45) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.64% ( -0.59) | 62.36% ( 0.59) |
Score Analysis |
Leeds United Under-21s | Draw | Newcastle United Under-21s |
3-1 @ 7.87% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.36% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 6.31% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.01% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 4.82% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 4.13% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 4.04% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 3.51% ( 0.08) 5-0 @ 3.09% ( 0.03) 5-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.04) 6-1 @ 2.16% ( -0.01) 4-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.04) 6-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.01) 6-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.03) 5-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.03) 7-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.76% Total : 74.48% | 2-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.02) 1-1 @ 4.59% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.7% Total : 13.45% | 1-2 @ 3.01% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 1.43% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 3.28% Total : 12.07% |
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