SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Under-21s win with a probability of 59.14%. A win for Newcastle United Under-21s had a probability of 22.54% and a draw had a probability of 18.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.07%) and 2-3 (5.54%). The likeliest Newcastle United Under-21s win was 2-1 (5.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (6.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle United Under-21s | Draw | Manchester United Under-21s |
| 22.54% | 18.32% ( 0.12) | 59.14% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 73.05% ( -0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 78.02% ( -0.58) | 21.97% ( 0.58) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 59.14% ( -0.8) | 40.85% ( 0.8) |
| Newcastle United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.16% ( -0.35) | 20.84% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.48% ( -0.56) | 53.52% ( 0.56) |
| Manchester United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.28% ( -0.19) | 7.72% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 72.5% ( -0.49) | 27.49% ( 0.49) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newcastle United Under-21s | Draw | Manchester United Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 5.07% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.65% 1-0 @ 2.52% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 1.98% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.03)4-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.39% Total : 22.54% | 2-2 @ 6.49% ( 0.01) 1-1 @ 6.46% ( 0.14)3-3 @ 2.9% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 1.61% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.86% Total : 18.32% | 1-2 @ 8.28% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 7.07% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 5.54% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.12)1-4 @ 4.53% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 4.51% ( 0.06)0-1 @ 4.12% ( 0.13)2-4 @ 3.55% ( -0.07)0-4 @ 2.89% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 2.32% ( -0.04)3-4 @ 1.86% ( -0.06)2-5 @ 1.82% ( -0.05)0-5 @ 1.48% ( -0.01)1-6 @ 0.99% ( -0.03)3-5 @ 0.95% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.99% Total : 59.14% |
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