SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester Women win with a probability of 53.63%. A win for Bristol City Women had a probability of 25.01% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.06%) and 1-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Bristol City Women win was 1-2 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.29%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leicester Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leicester Women | Draw | Bristol City Women |
53.63% ( 0) | 21.36% ( -0.1) | 25.01% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 64.3% ( 0.49) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.73% ( 0.59) | 34.27% ( -0.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.83% ( 0.66) | 56.17% ( -0.67) |
| Leicester Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.02% ( 0.2) | 12.98% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.53% ( 0.41) | 39.47% ( -0.41) |
| Bristol City Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.89% ( 0.39) | 26.11% ( -0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.83% ( 0.52) | 61.17% ( -0.52) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leicester Women | Draw | Bristol City Women |
| 2-1 @ 9.49% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.06% ( -0.11)1-0 @ 6.92% ( -0.16)3-1 @ 6.46% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.81% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 3.3% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 2.46% 4-2 @ 2.21% ( 0.05)5-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 1% ( 0.01)4-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.03)5-2 @ 0.9% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.35% Total : 53.63% | 1-1 @ 9.29% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 6.37% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 3.39% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.37% Total : 21.36% | 1-2 @ 6.24% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.55% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 3.06% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.85% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 2.79% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.37% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.26% Total : 25.01% |
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