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Women's Super League | Gameweek 11
Jan 21, 2024 at 2pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium

Brighton Women
3 - 2
Bristol Women

Terland (31', 90+5'), Robinson (57')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Harrison (55'), Jones (83')
Rodgers (52')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aston Villa 1-0 Brighton Women
Sunday, December 17 at 6.45pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Bristol Women 0-3 Chelsea Women
Sunday, December 17 at 2pm in Women's Super League

We said: Brighton & Hove Albion Women 1-1 Bristol City Women

Although Bristol City may be propping up the table, they have taken points from three of their five away league games this season. With that in mind, we think the Robins may do enough to hold Brighton to a draw, especially as the hosts are yet to win a home WSL match this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion Women win with a probability of 38.99%. A win for Bristol City Women had a probability of 36.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.32%) and 2-0 (5.67%). The likeliest Bristol City Women win was 1-2 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion Women would win this match.

Result
Brighton & Hove Albion WomenDrawBristol City Women
38.99% (-0.113 -0.11) 24.05% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03) 36.96% (0.14 0.14)
Both teams to score 61.25% (0.116 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.86% (0.147 0.15)41.14% (-0.146 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.47% (0.15 0.15)63.53% (-0.14899999999999 -0.15)
Brighton & Hove Albion Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.77% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)21.23% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.87% (0.012 0.01)54.13% (-0.012 -0.01)
Bristol City Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.76% (0.14 0.14)22.24% (-0.139 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.33% (0.21 0.21)55.67% (-0.21 -0.21)
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion Women 38.99%
    Bristol City Women 36.96%
    Draw 24.04%
Brighton & Hove Albion WomenDrawBristol City Women
2-1 @ 8.52% (-0.017000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 7.32% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
2-0 @ 5.67% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.4% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.31% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.93% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.28% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.14% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 38.99%
1-1 @ 10.99% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 6.41% (0.014 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.72% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.66% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 24.04%
1-2 @ 8.27% (0.016 0.02)
0-1 @ 7.1% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.33% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.14% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.21% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.67% (0.016 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.56% (0.016 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.21% (0.013 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.01% (0.0099999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 36.96%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Aston Villa 1-0 Brighton Women
Sunday, December 17 at 6.45pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Brighton Women 2-2 Leicester Women
Sunday, December 10 at 2pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Liverpool Women 4-0 Brighton Women
Sunday, November 26 at 2pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Brighton Women 0-3 Arsenal Women
Sunday, November 19 at 2pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Man City Women 0-1 Brighton Women
Sunday, November 12 at 1pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Brighton Women 2-2 Man Utd Women
Sunday, November 5 at 6.45pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Bristol Women 0-3 Chelsea Women
Sunday, December 17 at 2pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Liverpool Women 1-1 Bristol Women
Sunday, December 10 at 2pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Bristol Women 0-2 Man Utd Women
Sunday, November 26 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Everton Ladies 2-2 Bristol Women
Sunday, November 19 at 1pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Bristol Women 0-2 Aston Villa
Sunday, November 12 at 2pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: West Ham 2-3 Bristol Women
Sunday, November 5 at 3pm in Women's Super League


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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