SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 74.2%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for Bristol City Women had a probability of 10.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.18%) and 0-3 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.08%), while for a Bristol City Women win it was 2-1 (3.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-3 win for Chelsea Women in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Chelsea Women.
| Result | ||
| Bristol City Women | Draw | Chelsea Women |
10.41% ( 0.34) | 15.39% ( 0.36) | 74.2% ( -0.7) |
| Both teams to score 54.04% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.35% ( -0.73) | 32.65% ( 0.73) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.68% ( -0.85) | 54.32% ( 0.85) |
| Bristol City Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.41% ( 0.12) | 41.6% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.92% ( 0.11) | 78.08% ( -0.1) |
| Chelsea Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.52% ( -0.3) | 7.48% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 73.12% ( -0.8) | 26.89% ( 0.81) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bristol City Women | Draw | Chelsea Women |
| 2-1 @ 3.11% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 2.73% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 1.18% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 0.91% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.29% Total : 10.41% | 1-1 @ 7.08% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 4.02% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 3.11% ( 0.12)3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 15.39% | 0-2 @ 10.46% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 9.18% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 9.04% ( -0.08)0-1 @ 8.07% ( 0.19)1-3 @ 7.93% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 5.86% ( -0.15)1-4 @ 5.14% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 3.48% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 3.04% ( -0.13)1-5 @ 2.67% ( -0.1)2-4 @ 2.25% ( -0.04)0-6 @ 1.31% ( -0.08)2-5 @ 1.17% ( -0.04)1-6 @ 1.15% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.46% Total : 74.2% |
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