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Women's Super League | Gameweek 1
Oct 1, 2023 at 2pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium

Bristol Women
2 - 4
Leicester Women

Jones (33'), Gronbak Thestrup (85' pen.)
Jones (90')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Palmer (45+2'), Rantala (49', 83'), Petermann (52')
Cain (78'), Green (90')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Southampton Women 1-0 Bristol Women
Sunday, January 30 at 1pm in Women's FA Cup
Last Game: Brighton Women 0-1 Leicester Women
Saturday, May 27 at 2.30pm in Women's Super League

We said: Bristol City Women 0-1 Leicester Women

Both teams have added to their squads over the summer, but we think that Leicester have the extra quality required to claim a narrow victory in Sunday's meeting at Ashton Gate. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City Women win with a probability of 62.53%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Leicester Women had a probability of 16.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.13%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.72%), while for a Leicester Women win it was 0-1 (4.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Leicester Women would win this match.

Result
Bristol City WomenDrawLeicester Women
62.53% (-0.446 -0.45) 20.62% (0.149 0.15) 16.86% (0.293 0.29)
Both teams to score 53.69% (0.134 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.79% (-0.139 -0.14)42.21% (0.136 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.38% (-0.14 -0.14)64.61% (0.136 0.14)
Bristol City Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.08% (-0.172 -0.17)12.92% (0.167 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.64% (-0.352 -0.35)39.36% (0.348 0.35)
Leicester Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.65% (0.271 0.27)38.34% (-0.276 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.9% (0.263 0.26)75.1% (-0.26600000000001 -0.27)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City Women 62.51%
    Leicester Women 16.86%
    Draw 20.62%
Bristol City WomenDrawLeicester Women
2-0 @ 10.37% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-0 @ 10.13% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.94% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.08% (-0.094 -0.09)
3-1 @ 6.78% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-0 @ 3.62% (-0.072 -0.07)
4-1 @ 3.47% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.25% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.66% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.48% (-0.04 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.42% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 62.51%
1-1 @ 9.72% (0.069000000000001 0.07)
0-0 @ 4.95% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.77% (0.039 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.04% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 20.62%
0-1 @ 4.75% (0.064 0.06)
1-2 @ 4.66% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
0-2 @ 2.28% (0.047 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.52% (0.024 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.49% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 16.86%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Southampton Women 1-0 Bristol Women
Sunday, January 30 at 1pm in Women's FA Cup
Last Game: Brighton Women 3-1 Bristol Women
Sunday, May 9 at 2.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Bristol Women 0-1 Man Utd Women
Sunday, May 2 at 2pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Aston Villa 2-2 Bristol Women
Saturday, April 24 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Bristol Women 0-4 Arsenal Women
Sunday, April 4 at 2pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: B'ham Women 1-1 Bristol Women
Sunday, March 28 at 4pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Brighton Women 0-1 Leicester Women
Saturday, May 27 at 2.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Leicester Women 1-2 West Ham
Sunday, May 21 at 3pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Chelsea Women 6-0 Leicester Women
Wednesday, May 10 at 7pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Arsenal Women 1-0 Leicester Women
Friday, May 5 at 7.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Leicester Women 4-0 Liverpool Women
Saturday, April 29 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Leicester Women 2-1 Reading Women
Sunday, April 2 at 3pm in Women's Super League


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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