SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SK Brann win with a probability of 47.45%. A win for Lillestrom had a probability of 29.78% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a SK Brann win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.19%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Lillestrom win was 2-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SK Brann would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lillestrom | Draw | SK Brann |
29.78% ( 0.05) | 22.77% ( 0.09) | 47.45% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 63.4% ( -0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.75% ( -0.41) | 37.25% ( 0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.54% ( -0.44) | 59.46% ( 0.43) |
| Lillestrom Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.55% ( -0.17) | 24.44% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.12% ( -0.24) | 58.88% ( 0.23) |
| SK Brann Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.91% ( -0.21) | 16.09% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.51% ( -0.38) | 45.49% ( 0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lillestrom | Draw | SK Brann |
| 2-1 @ 7.13% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 5.54% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 3.9% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.35% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.06% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.83% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.71% Total : 29.78% | 1-1 @ 10.12% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.51% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 3.93% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.33% Total : 22.76% | 1-2 @ 9.25% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.19% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 6.56% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 5.63% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 4% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.97% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 2.57% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.83% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.81% ( -0.03)1-5 @ 0.94% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.71% Total : 47.45% |
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