SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bodo/Glimt win with a probability of 43.26%. A win for Lillestrom had a probability of 34.37% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bodo/Glimt win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.86%) and 0-2 (5.36%). The likeliest Lillestrom win was 2-1 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bodo/Glimt would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lillestrom | Draw | Bodo/Glimt |
34.37% ( -0.12) | 22.37% ( -0.01) | 43.26% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 67.19% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.8% ( 0.04) | 33.19% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.05% ( 0.04) | 54.95% ( -0.04) |
| Lillestrom Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.06% ( -0.04) | 19.94% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.91% ( -0.07) | 52.09% ( 0.07) |
| Bodo/Glimt Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.93% ( 0.07) | 16.07% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.55% ( 0.12) | 45.45% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lillestrom | Draw | Bodo/Glimt |
| 2-1 @ 7.62% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 5.17% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 4.17% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.09% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.74% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.24% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.65% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.51% ( -0)4-3 @ 0.92% ( -0)4-0 @ 0.9% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.36% Total : 34.37% | 1-1 @ 9.45% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.96% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.2% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 2.28% ( 0)Other @ 0.47% Total : 22.37% | 1-2 @ 8.63% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.86% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.36% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 5.26% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 4.24% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.26% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 2.41% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.94% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.49% ( 0.01)3-4 @ 1.04% ( 0)Other @ 3.77% Total : 43.27% |
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