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Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 20
Oct 1, 2023 at 2pm UK
Arasen Stadion

Lillestrom
0 - 2
Brann


Ibrahimaj (22'), Rogers (22'), Thompson (27'), Edh (57'), Gabrielsen (68'), Garnas (75')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Heltne Nilsen (31' pen.), Mathisen (47')
Sery (32'), Baardsen Pedersen (42')
Coverage of the Norwegian Eliteserien clash between Lillestrom and SK Brann.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lillestrom 3-0 Rosenborg
Sunday, September 24 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Brann 2-1 Tromso
Sunday, September 24 at 6.15pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 40.88%. A win for SK Brann had a probability of 37.41% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.04%) and 1-0 (4.81%). The likeliest SK Brann win was 1-2 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result
LillestromDrawSK Brann
40.88% (0.364 0.36) 21.7% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 37.41% (-0.352 -0.35)
Both teams to score 70.51% (0.012 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.83% (0.030000000000001 0.03)29.16% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.82% (0.036999999999999 0.04)50.17% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Lillestrom Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.66% (0.149 0.15)15.34% (-0.15 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.91% (0.281 0.28)44.09% (-0.28 -0.28)
SK Brann Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.28% (-0.13200000000001 -0.13)16.72% (0.135 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.38% (-0.241 -0.24)46.62% (0.242 0.24)
Score Analysis
    Lillestrom 40.88%
    SK Brann 37.41%
    Draw 21.7%
LillestromDrawSK Brann
2-1 @ 8.06% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.04% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
1-0 @ 4.81% (0.017 0.02)
2-0 @ 4.51% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
3-2 @ 4.51% (0.022 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.82% (0.038 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.36% (0.035 0.04)
4-2 @ 2.11% (0.021 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.32% (0.025 0.03)
4-3 @ 1.26% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 4.09%
Total : 40.88%
1-1 @ 8.6% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-2 @ 7.21% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-3 @ 2.69% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 2.56% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 21.7%
1-2 @ 7.69% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-1 @ 4.59% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-3 @ 4.59% (-0.046 -0.05)
2-3 @ 4.3% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.1% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.45% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-4 @ 2.05% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.92% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-4 @ 1.2% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 1.09% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 37.41%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Lillestrom 3-0 Rosenborg
Sunday, September 24 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Sarpsborg 3-1 Lillestrom
Sunday, September 17 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Aalesund 1-1 Lillestrom
Sunday, September 3 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Stromsgodset 1-2 Lillestrom
Sunday, August 20 at 6.15pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Lillestrom 1-3 Viking FK
Sunday, August 13 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Tromso 3-1 Lillestrom
Sunday, August 6 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Brann 2-1 Tromso
Sunday, September 24 at 6.15pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Stabaek 0-1 Brann
Sunday, September 17 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Brann 1-0 Sarpsborg
Sunday, September 3 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Brann 3-3 AZ (5-6 pen.)
Thursday, August 31 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: AZ 1-1 Brann
Thursday, August 24 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Brann 5-1 Aalesund
Sunday, August 20 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien


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