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League One | Gameweek 38
Mar 12, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
LNER Stadium
CU

Lincoln
6 - 0
Cambridge

Moylan (3', 25'), Taylor (48', 74'), Eyoma (85'), Duffy (86')
Duffy (90+1'), Taylor (90+7')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Andrew (80'), Brophy (83')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barnsley 1-5 Lincoln
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 1-1 Northampton
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League One

We said: Lincoln City 2-0 Cambridge United

Lincoln are charging towards the playoffs, with the Imps in excellent form, and we are expecting them to pick up another three points on Tuesday evening against a Cambridge side that have lost 10 of their 17 away league matches during the 2023-24 campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 52.57%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 21.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.71%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.14%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 0-1 (8.07%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lincoln City would win this match.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawCambridge United
52.57% (0.036000000000001 0.04) 26.11% (-0.029 -0.03) 21.32% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 44.64% (0.065999999999995 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.91% (0.091999999999999 0.09)58.08% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.24% (0.073 0.07)78.75% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.79% (0.055000000000007 0.06)22.21% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.37% (0.080999999999996 0.08)55.63% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.38% (0.044999999999995 0.04)42.62% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.03% (0.038 0.04)78.96% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 52.56%
    Cambridge United 21.32%
    Draw 26.11%
Lincoln CityDrawCambridge United
1-0 @ 14.24% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 10.71%
2-1 @ 9.14% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.37% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.58% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.02% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.96% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.72% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 52.56%
1-1 @ 12.14% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.47% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 3.9% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 26.11%
0-1 @ 8.07% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-2 @ 5.18% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 3.44% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 1.47% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.11% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.06%
Total : 21.32%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Barnsley 1-5 Lincoln
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 0-0 Stevenage
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 3-0 Shrewsbury
Tuesday, February 27 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Port Vale 0-2 Lincoln
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 1-0 Exeter
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Charlton 1-1 Lincoln
Tuesday, February 13 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 1-1 Northampton
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 2-0 Cambridge
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Stevenage 1-0 Cambridge
Tuesday, February 27 at 8pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 0-1 Peterborough
Saturday, February 24 at 12pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 1-2 Bolton
Tuesday, February 20 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Carlisle 0-4 Cambridge
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in League One


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