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League One | Gameweek 34
Feb 17, 2024 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
CU

Carlisle
0 - 4
Cambridge


Mellish (45+4'), Butterworth (68')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kaikai (14'), Lavelle (69' og.), Kachunga (72'), Bennett (83')
Taylor (45+4')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Carlisle 0-1 Portsmouth
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Portsmouth 3-1 Cambridge
Tuesday, February 13 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Carlisle United 1-1 Cambridge United

While Carlisle have lost four of their last five home games, it is worth pointing out that three of those defeats were against teams in the top six this season. With just two wins on the road, Cambridge's away record is far from solid and we feel that they will have to settle for a share of the spoils in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Carlisle United win with a probability of 41.03%. A win for Cambridge United has a probability of 32.5% and a draw has a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Cambridge United win is 0-1 (9.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.58%).

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawCambridge United
41.03% (-0.372 -0.37) 26.47% (-0.197 -0.2) 32.5% (0.563 0.56)
Both teams to score 52.01% (0.802 0.8)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.29% (0.941 0.94)52.7% (-0.947 -0.95)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.65% (0.8 0.8)74.34% (-0.804 -0.8)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.68% (0.232 0.23)25.32% (-0.238 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.9% (0.321 0.32)60.09% (-0.327 -0.33)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.64% (0.85599999999999 0.86)30.36% (-0.86 -0.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.45% (1.01 1.01)66.54% (-1.014 -1.01)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 41.03%
    Cambridge United 32.5%
    Draw 26.46%
Carlisle UnitedDrawCambridge United
1-0 @ 10.55% (-0.33 -0.33)
2-1 @ 8.65% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 7.25% (-0.174 -0.17)
3-1 @ 3.96% (0.027 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.32% (-0.057 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.36% (0.071 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.36% (0.018 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.14% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 41.03%
1-1 @ 12.58% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 7.69% (-0.291 -0.29)
2-2 @ 5.15% (0.121 0.12)
3-3 @ 0.94% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.46%
0-1 @ 9.16% (-0.125 -0.13)
1-2 @ 7.5% (0.126 0.13)
0-2 @ 5.46% (0.056 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.98% (0.118 0.12)
0-3 @ 2.17% (0.072 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.05% (0.095 0.1)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 32.5%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Carlisle 0-1 Portsmouth
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Leyton Orient 3-2 Carlisle
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Carlisle 1-4 Bolton
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 2-1 Carlisle
Tuesday, January 16 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Carlisle 1-3 Oxford Utd
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 2-1 Carlisle
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Portsmouth 3-1 Cambridge
Tuesday, February 13 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 0-1 Cheltenham
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 0-0 Bolton
Tuesday, February 6 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 1-2 Cambridge
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 0-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 0-0 Cambridge
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in League One


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