SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ludogorets Razgrad win with a probability of 55.85%. A win for Dinamo Batumi had a probability of 22.37% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ludogorets Razgrad win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.52%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest Dinamo Batumi win was 1-2 (5.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ludogorets Razgrad would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ludogorets Razgrad | Draw | Dinamo Batumi |
55.85% ( 0.12) | 21.78% ( -0.04) | 22.37% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 59.36% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.72% ( 0.06) | 39.28% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.39% ( 0.06) | 61.61% ( -0.06) |
| Ludogorets Razgrad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.02% ( 0.06) | 13.98% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.51% ( 0.11) | 41.49% ( -0.11) |
| Dinamo Batumi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.01% ( -0.04) | 30.99% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.71% ( -0.05) | 67.29% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ludogorets Razgrad | Draw | Dinamo Batumi |
| 2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.52% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.39% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.44% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.5% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.77% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.17% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.71% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.25% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.36% Total : 55.85% | 1-1 @ 9.99% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.76% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.33% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 0.23% Total : 21.78% | 1-2 @ 5.85% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.08% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.25% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.77% Total : 22.37% |
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