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Conference League | Group Stage
Dec 14, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Huvepharma Arena (Razgrad)

Ludogorets
1 - 0
Nordsjaelland

Piotrowski (79')
Tekpetey (6'), Sonko-Sundberg (32'), Tissera (83'), Delev (90+7'), Yordanov (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Nygren (17'), Frese (48')
Coverage of the Conference League Group Stage clash between Ludogorets Razgrad and Nordsjaelland.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Spartak Trnava 1-2 Ludogorets
Thursday, November 30 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ludogorets Razgrad win with a probability of 53.82%. A win for Nordsjaelland had a probability of 24.32% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ludogorets Razgrad win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.8%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Nordsjaelland win was 1-2 (6.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ludogorets Razgrad would win this match.

Result
Ludogorets RazgradDrawNordsjaelland
53.82% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 21.86% (0.0069999999999979 0.01) 24.32% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 61.63% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.58% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)37.42% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.36% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)59.64% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Ludogorets Razgrad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.01% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)13.99% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.49% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)41.51% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Nordsjaelland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.65% (-0.012 -0.01)28.34% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.92% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)64.08% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Ludogorets Razgrad 53.82%
    Nordsjaelland 24.32%
    Draw 21.86%
Ludogorets RazgradDrawNordsjaelland
2-1 @ 9.67% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 7.8% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.67% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 6.34% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
3-0 @ 5.03% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 3.12% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 2.47% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.97% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 1.23% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 0.97% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 53.82%
1-1 @ 9.83% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.1%
0-0 @ 3.97% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.68% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 21.86%
1-2 @ 6.2% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 5% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 3.15% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 2.61%
2-3 @ 2.56% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 1.32%
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 24.32%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Spartak Trnava 1-2 Ludogorets
Thursday, November 30 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Ludogorets 2-0 Fenerbahce
Thursday, November 9 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Fenerbahce 3-1 Ludogorets
Thursday, October 26 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Nordsjaelland 7-1 Ludogorets
Thursday, October 5 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Ludogorets 4-0 Spartak Trnava
Thursday, September 21 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Ajax 0-1 Ludogorets
Thursday, August 31 at 7pm in Europa League
Last Game: Odense 1-1 Nordsjaelland
Sunday, December 3 at 1pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Nordsjaelland 6-1 Fenerbahce
Thursday, November 30 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Nordsjaelland 0-0 Aarhus
Sunday, November 26 at 1pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Midtjylland 2-0 Nordsjaelland
Sunday, November 12 at 3pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Nordsjaelland 1-1 Spartak Trnava
Thursday, November 9 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Nordsjaelland 1-0 Vejle
Sunday, November 5 at 1pm in Danish Superliga


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