SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ludogorets Razgrad win with a probability of 60.87%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Spartak Trnava had a probability of 18.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ludogorets Razgrad win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.46%) and 1-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.6%), while for a Spartak Trnava win it was 1-2 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ludogorets Razgrad would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ludogorets Razgrad | Draw | Spartak Trnava |
60.87% ( 0.05) | 20.67% ( -0.02) | 18.46% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 56.8% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.32% ( 0.06) | 39.68% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.97% ( 0.06) | 62.03% ( -0.06) |
| Ludogorets Razgrad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.39% ( 0.03) | 12.61% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.27% ( 0.07) | 38.72% ( -0.06) |
| Spartak Trnava Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65% ( 0.01) | 35% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.25% ( 0.01) | 71.74% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ludogorets Razgrad | Draw | Spartak Trnava |
| 2-1 @ 9.93% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.46% ( -0)1-0 @ 9.14% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.86% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.53% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.6% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.55% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.38% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.86% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.47% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.4% ( 0)Other @ 3.69% Total : 60.87% | 1-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.21% 0-0 @ 4.41% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 20.67% | 1-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.63% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.83% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.76% ( -0)Other @ 2.77% Total : 18.46% |
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