SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 53.96%. A win for Nordsjaelland had a probability of 24.1% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.99%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Nordsjaelland win was 1-2 (6.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fenerbahce | Draw | Nordsjaelland |
53.96% ( 0.13) | 21.95% ( -0.03) | 24.1% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 61.05% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.93% ( 0.07) | 38.07% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.67% ( 0.08) | 60.33% ( -0.07) |
| Fenerbahce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.83% ( 0.07) | 14.17% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.14% ( 0.13) | 41.86% ( -0.12) |
| Nordsjaelland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.13% ( -0.03) | 28.87% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.26% ( -0.04) | 64.74% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fenerbahce | Draw | Nordsjaelland |
| 2-1 @ 9.7% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.99% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.81% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.32% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 5.09% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.93% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.09% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.49% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.92% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.44% Total : 53.96% | 1-1 @ 9.93% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.03% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.09% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.63% ( 0)Other @ 0.27% Total : 21.95% | 1-2 @ 6.17% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.08% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.5% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.33% Total : 24.1% |
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