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Europa League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 15, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Stadio di Cornaredo
P

Lugano
2 - 2
Partizan

Steffen (48'), Mahmoud (111')
Hajdari (49'), Valenzuela (105'), Mahmoud (112'), El Wafi (112'), Steffen (115'), Doumbia (120+3')
Hajdari (88')
FT
(aet)
Zahid (44'), Markovic (67')
Arriaga (17'), Ibrahim (33'), Mujakic (70')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lugano 2-3 Luzern
Sunday, August 11 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Partizan 0-1 Lugano
Thursday, August 8 at 7pm in Europa League
TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1Basel123.00Barry
2FC Zurich102.50Jose Perea
3Lugano92.25Przybylko
4Servette91.80Kutesa
5St Gallen92.25Akolo
6Sion82.00Djokic
7Luzern71.75Klidje
8Lausanne61.50Diabate
9Young Boys61.20Ganvoula
10Yverdon Sport41.00Carlos
11Winterthur30.75Di Giusto
12Grasshopper30.75Morandi

We say: Lugano 1-1 Partizan (Lugano win 2-1 on aggregate)

The close nature of the first leg would suggest that the second could swing in either team's favour, although Thursday's clash could be low scoring once again. If Partizan open up too early in search of an equaliser, they could be caught out during counter-attacks. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 46.01%. A win for Partizan had a probability of 30.85% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.36%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Partizan win was 1-2 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%).

Result
LuganoDrawPartizan
46.01% (0.237 0.24) 23.14% (-0.055 -0.05) 30.85% (-0.174 -0.17)
Both teams to score 62.69% (0.11 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.55% (0.187 0.19)38.45% (-0.17899999999999 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.26% (0.19600000000001 0.2)60.74% (-0.189 -0.19)
Lugano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.91% (0.166 0.17)17.09% (-0.159 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.72% (0.287 0.29)47.28% (-0.27999999999999 -0.28)
Partizan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.61% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)24.38% (0.022000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.2% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)58.8% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Lugano 46.01%
    Partizan 30.85%
    Draw 23.13%
LuganoDrawPartizan
2-1 @ 9.18% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.36% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.5% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.41% (0.036 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.83% (0.028 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.81% (0.024 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.39% (0.028 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.69% (0.022 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.69% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 4.16%
Total : 46.01%
1-1 @ 10.38% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 6.48% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.17% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.79% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.13%
1-2 @ 7.33% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-1 @ 5.88% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-2 @ 4.15% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.45% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.05% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 1.95% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.22% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 30.85%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Lugano 2-3 Luzern
Sunday, August 11 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Partizan 0-1 Lugano
Thursday, August 8 at 7pm in Europa League
Last Game: Lugano 3-1 Servette
Saturday, August 3 at 5pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Fenerbahce 2-1 Lugano
Tuesday, July 30 at 6pm in Champions League
Last Game: Basel 1-2 Lugano
Saturday, July 27 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Lugano 3-4 Fenerbahce
Tuesday, July 23 at 7.30pm in Champions League
Last Game: Partizan 0-1 Lugano
Thursday, August 8 at 7pm in Europa League
Last Game: Partizan 0-3 Dynamo Kiev
Wednesday, July 31 at 7pm in Champions League
Last Game: Dynamo Kiev 6-2 Partizan
Tuesday, July 23 at 7pm in Champions League
Last Game: Partizan 0-1 Nordsjaelland
Thursday, August 31 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Nordsjaelland 5-0 Partizan
Thursday, August 24 at 5.30pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Partizan 2-0 Sabah (5-4 pen.)
Thursday, August 17 at 8pm in Europa Conference League


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