SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luzern win with a probability of 49%. A win for Lausanne Sport had a probability of 26.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Lausanne Sport win was 0-1 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Luzern | Draw | Lausanne Sport |
49% ( 0.01) | 24.4% ( -0.02) | 26.58% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 55.19% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.02% ( 0.09) | 46.97% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.78% ( 0.08) | 69.22% ( -0.08) |
| Luzern Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.77% ( 0.04) | 19.22% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.07% ( 0.07) | 50.92% ( -0.07) |
| Lausanne Sport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.33% ( 0.05) | 31.67% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.91% ( 0.05) | 68.08% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Luzern | Draw | Lausanne Sport |
| 1-0 @ 10.03% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.52% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.28% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.23% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.55% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.01% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.16% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.88% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.24% ( 0)Other @ 3.11% Total : 49% | 1-1 @ 11.54% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.09% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.47% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.4% | 0-1 @ 7% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.64% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.02% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.54% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 2.74% Total : 26.59% |
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