SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Zurich win with a probability of 44.13%. A win for Luzern had a probability of 32.06% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Zurich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.86%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Luzern win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Zurich | Draw | Luzern |
44.13% ( 0.14) | 23.81% ( -0.03) | 32.06% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 60.86% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.88% ( 0.09) | 41.12% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.48% ( 0.09) | 63.51% ( -0.09) |
| FC Zurich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.09% ( 0.09) | 18.9% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.6% ( 0.16) | 50.39% ( -0.16) |
| Luzern Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.04% ( -0.03) | 24.95% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.41% ( -0.04) | 59.59% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Zurich | Draw | Luzern |
| 2-1 @ 9.09% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.86% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.54% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.05% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.63% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.5% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.1% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.46% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.39% Total : 44.13% | 1-1 @ 10.9% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.31% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.72% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.62% ( 0)Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.8% | 1-2 @ 7.57% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.55% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 4.55% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.92% 0-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 2.64% Total : 32.06% |
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