Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luzern win with a probability of 56.81%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Lausanne Sport had a probability of 21.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.7%) and 2-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.4%), while for a Lausanne Sport win it was 1-2 (5.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Luzern would win this match.
