Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luzern win with a probability of 44.42%. A win for Lausanne Sport had a probability of 31.79% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.9%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Lausanne Sport win was 1-2 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Luzern in this match.
Result | ||
Luzern | Draw | Lausanne Sport |
44.42% ( 2.12) | 23.79% ( -0.31) | 31.79% ( -1.8) |
Both teams to score 60.79% ( 0.4) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.84% ( 0.83) | 41.16% ( -0.83) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.45% ( 0.84) | 63.55% ( -0.84) |
Luzern Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.2% ( 1.25) | 18.8% ( -1.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.78% ( 2.05) | 50.22% ( -2.05) |
Lausanne Sport Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.86% ( -0.67) | 25.13% ( 0.67) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.16% ( -0.93) | 59.84% ( 0.94) |
Score Analysis |
Luzern | Draw | Lausanne Sport |
2-1 @ 9.11% ( 0.2) 1-0 @ 7.9% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.6% ( 0.27) 3-1 @ 5.08% ( 0.3) 3-0 @ 3.68% ( 0.29) 3-2 @ 3.51% ( 0.14) 4-1 @ 2.12% ( 0.2) 4-0 @ 1.54% ( 0.17) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( 0.11) Other @ 3.43% Total : 44.42% | 1-1 @ 10.9% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 6.29% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.73% ( -0.18) 3-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.79% | 1-2 @ 7.53% ( -0.28) 0-1 @ 6.53% ( -0.38) 0-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.36) 1-3 @ 3.47% ( -0.2) 2-3 @ 2.9% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.21) 1-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.09) 2-4 @ 1% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.59% Total : 31.79% |
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