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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win with a probability of 54.28%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Maccabi Petah Tikva had a probability of 21.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.81%) and 1-2 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for a Maccabi Petah Tikva win it was 1-0 (6.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hapoel Be'er Sheva would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Maccabi Petah Tikva | Draw | Hapoel Be'er Sheva |
21.81% ( -0.02) | 23.9% ( -0.06) | 54.28% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 51.55% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.73% ( 0.23) | 49.27% ( -0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.67% ( 0.21) | 71.32% ( -0.2) |
| Maccabi Petah Tikva Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.9% ( 0.11) | 37.09% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.12% ( 0.11) | 73.88% ( -0.11) |
| Hapoel Be'er Sheva Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.95% ( 0.11) | 18.05% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.05% ( 0.2) | 48.95% ( -0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Maccabi Petah Tikva | Draw | Hapoel Be'er Sheva |
| 1-0 @ 6.64% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 5.64% ( 0)2-0 @ 3.29% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.86% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.09% ( -0)Other @ 1.7% Total : 21.81% | 1-1 @ 11.36% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.69% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 4.83% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 23.9% | 0-1 @ 11.46% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 9.81% ( -0.02)1-2 @ 9.73% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 5.6% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 5.55% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.75% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 2.4% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.38% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.42% Total : 54.28% |
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