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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Jerusalem win with a probability of 47.53%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Maccabi Petah Tikva had a probability of 24.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Jerusalem win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.69%) and 2-1 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.77%), while for a Maccabi Petah Tikva win it was 0-1 (9.42%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hapoel Jerusalem would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hapoel Jerusalem | Draw | Maccabi Petah Tikva |
47.53% ( -0) | 27.75% ( 0.02) | 24.72% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 43.88% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.08% ( -0.1) | 60.91% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.07% ( -0.07) | 80.93% ( 0.07) |
| Hapoel Jerusalem Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.24% ( -0.05) | 25.76% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.3% ( -0.06) | 60.69% ( 0.06) |
| Maccabi Petah Tikva Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.11% ( -0.08) | 40.89% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.54% ( -0.07) | 77.45% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hapoel Jerusalem | Draw | Maccabi Petah Tikva |
| 1-0 @ 14.28% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.69% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 8.67% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.38% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.92% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.75% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.49% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.03% Total : 47.53% | 1-1 @ 12.77% 0-0 @ 10.53% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 3.88% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.56% Total : 27.74% | 0-1 @ 9.42% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.71% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.21% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.26% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.26% Total : 24.72% |
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