SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maidenhead United win with a probability of 43.37%. A win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 31.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maidenhead United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.92%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Ebbsfleet win was 1-2 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Maidenhead United in this match.
| Result | ||
| Maidenhead United | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
43.37% ( -2.48) | 24.74% ( 0.02) | 31.88% ( 2.45) |
| Both teams to score 57.47% ( 1.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.47% ( 1.01) | 45.52% ( -1.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.15% ( 0.95) | 67.85% ( -0.95) |
| Maidenhead United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.95% ( -0.68) | 21.05% ( 0.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.15% ( -1.07) | 53.85% ( 1.07) |
| Ebbsfleet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.8% ( 2.14) | 27.2% ( -2.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.38% ( 2.7) | 62.61% ( -2.7) |
| Score Analysis |
| Maidenhead United | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
| 2-1 @ 9.05% ( -0.23) 1-0 @ 8.92% ( -0.59)2-0 @ 6.95% ( -0.61)3-1 @ 4.7% ( -0.22)3-0 @ 3.61% ( -0.4)3-2 @ 3.06% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.83% ( -0.13)4-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.19)4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.64% Total : 43.37% | 1-1 @ 11.61% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.89% ( 0.2)0-0 @ 5.73% ( -0.25)3-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.74% | 1-2 @ 7.56% ( 0.41) 0-1 @ 7.45% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 4.85% ( 0.36)1-3 @ 3.28% ( 0.36)2-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.23)0-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.27)1-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.17)Other @ 3% Total : 31.88% |
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