SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aldershot Town win with a probability of 42.46%. A win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 32.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aldershot Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.93%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Maidenhead United win was 1-2 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aldershot Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aldershot Town | Draw | Maidenhead United |
42.46% ( 0.05) | 24.9% ( 0) | 32.64% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 57.24% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.03% ( -0.04) | 45.97% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.73% ( -0.04) | 68.27% ( 0.03) |
| Aldershot Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.34% ( 0.01) | 21.66% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.21% ( 0.01) | 54.79% ( -0.02) |
| Maidenhead United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.06% ( -0.06) | 26.94% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.73% ( -0.07) | 62.27% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aldershot Town | Draw | Maidenhead United |
| 2-1 @ 8.95% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.93% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.83% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.57% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.48% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.99% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.75% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.33% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.49% Total : 42.46% | 1-1 @ 11.7% 2-2 @ 5.87% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.84% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.89% | 1-2 @ 7.68% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.65% 0-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.36% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.1% ( -0)Other @ 3.08% Total : 32.64% |
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