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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 55.6%. A win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 22.34% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.89%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest Maidenhead United win was 1-2 (5.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ebbsfleet | Draw | Maidenhead United |
55.6% ( -0.09) | 22.06% ( 0.02) | 22.34% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 58.34% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.39% ( -0.04) | 40.6% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.01% ( -0.04) | 62.98% ( 0.03) |
| Ebbsfleet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.49% ( -0.04) | 14.51% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.48% ( -0.08) | 42.51% ( 0.07) |
| Maidenhead United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.25% ( 0.03) | 31.75% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.82% ( 0.04) | 68.18% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ebbsfleet | Draw | Maidenhead United |
| 2-1 @ 9.85% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.89% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.58% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.34% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.52% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.64% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.06% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.67% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.75% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.18% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.1% Total : 55.6% | 1-1 @ 10.2% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.65% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.61% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.06% | 1-2 @ 5.85% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.29% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.03% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.16% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.61% Total : 22.34% |
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