SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 47.77%. A win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 27.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Maidenhead United win was 0-1 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rochdale would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rochdale | Draw | Maidenhead United |
47.77% ( 0.01) | 24.39% ( 0.02) | 27.83% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 56.26% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.96% ( -0.08) | 46.04% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.65% ( -0.08) | 68.35% ( 0.08) |
| Rochdale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.64% ( -0.03) | 19.36% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.85% ( -0.05) | 51.15% ( 0.05) |
| Maidenhead United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.76% ( -0.06) | 30.24% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.6% ( -0.08) | 66.4% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rochdale | Draw | Maidenhead United |
| 1-0 @ 9.61% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.44% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.89% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.17% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.32% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.09% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.12% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.77% 4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0)Other @ 3.1% Total : 47.77% | 1-1 @ 11.49% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.85% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.39% | 0-1 @ 7% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.88% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.19% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.67% ( -0)Other @ 3.11% Total : 27.83% |
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