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League Two | Gameweek 21
Mar 5, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
One Call Stadium
MD

Mansfield
1 - 2
MK Dons

Quinn (15')
Cargill (45+2'), Boateng (85')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Gilbey (20'), Dennis (54')
Dennis (50')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newport 0-1 Mansfield
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-0 MK Dons
Saturday, March 2 at 12.45pm in League Two

We said: Mansfield Town 3-1 MK Dons

Mansfield are in sensational form at the One Call Stadium of late and should be very confident of extending their winning run at the venue to four matches. MK Dons will still be reeling from their last-gasp loss at Wimbledon on the weekend, and a trip to the league leaders is not the ideal opportunity to bounce back. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 57.14%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 22.15% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.66%) and 1-0 (7.23%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 1-2 (5.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Mansfield TownDrawMK Dons
57.14% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02) 20.71% (0.0019999999999989 0) 22.15% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Both teams to score 62.99% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.61% (0.016000000000005 0.02)34.39% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.69% (0.018000000000001 0.02)56.3% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.55% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)37.44%
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.58% (0.025000000000006 0.03)28.41% (-0.026 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.83% (0.033000000000001 0.03)64.16% (-0.033999999999992 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Mansfield Town 57.14%
    MK Dons 22.15%
    Draw 20.71%
Mansfield TownDrawMK Dons
2-1 @ 9.64% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 7.66% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.23% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.82% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 5.42% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 4.29% (0.0020000000000007 0)
4-1 @ 3.61% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 2.87% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 2.27% (0.0010000000000003 0)
5-1 @ 1.53% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 1.22% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-2 @ 0.96% (0.001 0)
4-3 @ 0.95% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 57.14%
1-1 @ 9.1% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-2 @ 6.07% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 3.41% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.8% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 20.71%
1-2 @ 5.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 4.29% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 2.7% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.55% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 2.4% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.13% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 22.15%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Newport 0-1 Mansfield
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 5-1 Salford City
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Walsall 2-1 Mansfield
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 9-2 Harrogate
Tuesday, February 13 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Forest Green 0-4 Mansfield
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 1-0 Notts County
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-0 MK Dons
Saturday, March 2 at 12.45pm in League Two
Last Game: MK Dons 3-0 Newport
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: MK Dons 1-1 Wrexham
Tuesday, February 20 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Swindon 1-2 MK Dons
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Bradford 4-0 MK Dons
Tuesday, February 13 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: MK Dons 2-1 Accrington
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in League Two


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