Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 54.41%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 22.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.8%) and 0-2 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 1-0 (6.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.