Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 50.22%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 25.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.6%) and 0-2 (8.24%). The likeliest Newport County win was 2-1 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.
0.04) 
-0.06) 
