SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 60.19%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Fredrikstad had a probability of 18.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.69%) and 1-0 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.89%), while for a Fredrikstad win it was 1-2 (5.08%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Molde | Draw | Fredrikstad |
60.19% ( 0.01) | 21.13% ( -0) | 18.68% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 55.6% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.54% ( 0) | 41.45% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.14% ( 0) | 63.85% ( -0) |
| Molde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.62% ( 0) | 13.37% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.72% ( 0.01) | 40.27% ( -0.01) |
| Fredrikstad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.18% ( -0) | 35.81% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.41% ( -0) | 72.59% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Molde | Draw | Fredrikstad |
| 2-1 @ 9.95% 2-0 @ 9.69% ( 0)1-0 @ 9.64% ( -0)3-1 @ 6.68% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.5% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.43% 4-1 @ 3.36% ( 0)4-0 @ 3.27% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.72% 5-1 @ 1.35% 5-0 @ 1.32% Other @ 3.28% Total : 60.19% | 1-1 @ 9.89% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.11% 0-0 @ 4.79% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.13% | 1-2 @ 5.08% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.92% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.52% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.75% 1-3 @ 1.74% ( -0)Other @ 2.67% Total : 18.68% |
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