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Europa League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 15, 2024 at 7pm UK
Jan Breydelstadion
ML

Cercle Brugge
1 - 0
Molde

Kader Ouattara (41')
Nazinho (44'), Somers (61')
Francis (29')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Oyvann (26'), Wolff Eikrem (28')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cercle Brugge 4-1 Beerschot VA
Sunday, August 11 at 6.15pm in Belgian Pro League
Next Game: Rapid Vienna vs. Trabzonspor
Thursday, August 15 at 5pm in Europa League
Last Game: Lillestrom 1-2 Molde
Sunday, August 11 at 6.15pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Next Game: Rapid Vienna vs. Trabzonspor
Thursday, August 15 at 5pm in Europa League

We said: Cercle Brugge 1-2 Molde (Molde to win 5-1 on aggregate)

Cercle Brugge can ill-afford to start the way that they did in the first leg against Molde and must quickly put their stamp on proceedings if they wish to have any chance of overturning the three-goal deficit. However, it is difficult to back against Molde progressing from this tie on aggregate, even if the hosts do put up a fight. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cercle Brugge win with a probability of 42.29%. A win for Molde had a probability of 33.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cercle Brugge win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.14%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Molde win was 1-2 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cercle Brugge would win this match.

Result
Cercle BruggeDrawMolde
42.29% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03) 24.31% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 33.4% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 59.58% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.98% (0.015999999999998 0.02)43.01% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.58% (0.015000000000001 0.02)65.41% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Cercle Brugge Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.51% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)20.49% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.03% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)52.97% (0.012 0.01)
Molde Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.93% (0.025000000000006 0.03)25.06% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.25% (0.037999999999997 0.04)59.74% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Cercle Brugge 42.29%
    Molde 33.4%
    Draw 24.3%
Cercle BruggeDrawMolde
2-1 @ 8.93% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-0 @ 8.14% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.45% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.72% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 3.41% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 3.27% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 1.87% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.35% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.29%
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 42.29%
1-1 @ 11.26%
2-2 @ 6.18% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 5.13% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 1.51% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.3%
1-2 @ 7.79% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-1 @ 7.11% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 4.92% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-3 @ 3.6% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.85% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2.27% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.24% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 0.99% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 33.4%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Cercle Brugge 4-1 Beerschot VA
Sunday, August 11 at 6.15pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Molde 3-0 Cercle Brugge
Thursday, August 8 at 6pm in Europa League
Last Game: Cercle Brugge 1-2 Kortrijk
Sunday, August 4 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Cercle Brugge 1-0 Kilmarnock
Thursday, August 1 at 7pm in Europa League
Last Game: Westerlo 3-0 Cercle Brugge
Sunday, July 28 at 6.15pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Kilmarnock 1-1 Cercle Brugge
Thursday, July 25 at 7.30pm in Europa League
Last Game: Lillestrom 1-2 Molde
Sunday, August 11 at 6.15pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Molde 3-0 Cercle Brugge
Thursday, August 8 at 6pm in Europa League
Last Game: Silkeborg 3-2 Molde
Thursday, August 1 at 6.15pm in Europa League
Last Game: Viking FK 1-0 Molde
Sunday, July 28 at 6.15pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Molde 3-1 Silkeborg
Thursday, July 25 at 6pm in Europa League
Last Game: Molde 2-3 KFUM
Saturday, July 20 at 7.15pm in Norwegian Eliteserien


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