Although Molde were more dominant in their third qualifying round than Elfsborg were in theirs, it is difficult to ignore the visitors' strong form in recent matches. It would not be surprising if the first leg was another closely fought contest, leaving all to play for in the second. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 55.96%. A win for Elfsborg had a probability of 23.07% and a draw had a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.5%) and 1-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Elfsborg win was 1-2 (5.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
Molde	Draw	Elfsborg
55.96% ( 0.06)	20.97% ( -0.01)	23.07% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 63.3% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.46% (

-0.05)

34.53% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.53% (

-0.06)

56.47% (

0.06)

Molde Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.61% (

-0)

12.38% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.75%

38.24% (

-0)

Elfsborg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.25% (

-0.08)

27.74% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.68% (

-0.1)

63.32% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

Molde 55.96%

Elfsborg 23.07%

Draw 20.97%

Molde	Draw	Elfsborg
2-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.5% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.18% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.69% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.22% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 4.29% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.5% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.73% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 2.24% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.46% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.14% ( 0) 4-3 @ 0.96% ( -0) 5-2 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 2.52% Total : 55.96%	1-1 @ 9.2% ( 0) 2-2 @ 6.16% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.44% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.34% Total : 20.97%	1-2 @ 5.9% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.4% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.82% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.63% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.21% ( -0) Other @ 3.58% Total : 23.07%