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Europa League | Playoffs | 1st Leg
Aug 22, 2024 at 6pm UK
Aker Stadion

Molde
0 - 1
Elfsborg


Fjortoft Lovik (26'), Lund Jensen (63'), Haugan (84')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Qasem (15')
Qasem (43'), Pettersson (89')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cercle Brugge 1-0 Molde
Thursday, August 15 at 7pm in Europa League
Last Game: Mjallby AIF 1-1 Elfsborg
Sunday, August 18 at 1pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

We said: Molde 1-1 Elfsborg

Although Molde were more dominant in their third qualifying round than Elfsborg were in theirs, it is difficult to ignore the visitors' strong form in recent matches. It would not be surprising if the first leg was another closely fought contest, leaving all to play for in the second. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 55.96%. A win for Elfsborg had a probability of 23.07% and a draw had a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.5%) and 1-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Elfsborg win was 1-2 (5.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
MoldeDrawElfsborg
55.96% (0.061 0.06) 20.97% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01) 23.07% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)
Both teams to score 63.3% (-0.067 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.46% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)34.53% (0.050000000000004 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.53% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)56.47% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Molde Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.61% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)12.38% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.75%38.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Elfsborg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.25% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)27.74% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.68% (-0.098000000000006 -0.1)63.32% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Molde 55.96%
    Elfsborg 23.07%
    Draw 20.97%
MoldeDrawElfsborg
2-1 @ 9.61% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.5% (0.02 0.02)
1-0 @ 7.18% (0.019 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.69% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 5.22% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 4.29% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.5% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 2.73% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.24% (-0.004 -0)
5-1 @ 1.46% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 1.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-3 @ 0.96% (-0.004 -0)
5-2 @ 0.94% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 55.96%
1-1 @ 9.2% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 6.16% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.44% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.83% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 20.97%
1-2 @ 5.9% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.4% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 2.82% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.63% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.52% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.21% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 23.07%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Cercle Brugge 1-0 Molde
Thursday, August 15 at 7pm in Europa League
Last Game: Lillestrom 1-2 Molde
Sunday, August 11 at 6.15pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Molde 3-0 Cercle Brugge
Thursday, August 8 at 6pm in Europa League
Last Game: Silkeborg 3-2 Molde
Thursday, August 1 at 6.15pm in Europa League
Last Game: Viking FK 1-0 Molde
Sunday, July 28 at 6.15pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Molde 3-1 Silkeborg
Thursday, July 25 at 6pm in Europa League
Last Game: Mjallby AIF 1-1 Elfsborg
Sunday, August 18 at 1pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Elfsborg 2-0 Rijeka
Thursday, August 15 at 6pm in Europa League
Last Game: Elfsborg 2-1 GAIS
Sunday, August 11 at 3pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Rijeka 1-1 Elfsborg
Thursday, August 8 at 7pm in Europa League
Last Game: Elfsborg 2-0 Sheriff Tiraspol
Thursday, August 1 at 6pm in Europa League
Last Game: Elfsborg 1-2 Djurgarden
Sunday, July 28 at 4.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan


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