Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 41.09%. A win for Molde had a probability of 35.29% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.08%) and 2-0 (5.8%). The likeliest Molde win was 1-2 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lillestrom | Draw | Molde |
41.09% ( 0.41) | 23.61% ( -0.01) | 35.29% ( -0.4) |
Both teams to score 62.66% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.79% ( -0.04) | 39.21% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.46% ( -0.03) | 61.54% ( 0.03) |
Lillestrom Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.57% ( 0.17) | 19.43% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.74% ( 0.28) | 51.26% ( -0.28) |
Molde Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.77% ( -0.23) | 22.23% ( 0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.34% ( -0.34) | 55.66% ( 0.34) |
Score Analysis |
Lillestrom | Draw | Molde |
2-1 @ 8.72% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 7.08% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 5.8% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 4.76% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.58% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.17% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.95% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.28% Total : 41.09% | 1-1 @ 10.64% 2-2 @ 6.55% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.32% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.79% ( -0) Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.61% | 1-2 @ 8% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 6.49% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 4.01% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 3.29% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.51% Total : 35.29% |
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