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Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 18
Aug 11, 2024 at 6.15pm UK
Arasen Stadion
ML

Lillestrom
1 - 2
Molde

Ibrahimaj (10')
Gabrielsen (45+2'), Garnas (72'), Charles (77'), Ibrahimaj (82')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ihler (45+1'), Eriksen (90+1')
Breivik (64')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kristiansund 2-1 Lillestrom
Sunday, August 4 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Molde 3-0 Cercle Brugge
Thursday, August 8 at 6pm in Europa League

We said: Lillestrom 1-1 Molde

Despite avoiding defeat in their last three home games, Lillestrom had failed to notch maximum points in their preceding five home matches, suggesting the abnormality of the ongoing undefeated sequence. Regardless, Molde's seeming prioritisation of the Europa League could mean that run extends to four without losing on Sunday with both sides sharing the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 41.09%. A win for Molde had a probability of 35.29% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.08%) and 2-0 (5.8%). The likeliest Molde win was 1-2 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.

Result
LillestromDrawMolde
41.09% (0.40900000000001 0.41) 23.61% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 35.29% (-0.402 -0.4)
Both teams to score 62.66% (-0.052 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.79% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)39.21% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.46% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)61.54% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Lillestrom Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.57% (0.166 0.17)19.43% (-0.17 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.74% (0.276 0.28)51.26% (-0.278 -0.28)
Molde Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.77% (-0.22699999999999 -0.23)22.23% (0.225 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.34% (-0.341 -0.34)55.66% (0.337 0.34)
Score Analysis
    Lillestrom 41.09%
    Molde 35.29%
    Draw 23.61%
LillestromDrawMolde
2-1 @ 8.72% (0.046000000000001 0.05)
1-0 @ 7.08% (0.048 0.05)
2-0 @ 5.8% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
3-1 @ 4.76% (0.05 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.58% (0.014 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.17% (0.054 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.95% (0.031 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.47% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.3% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 41.09%
1-1 @ 10.64%
2-2 @ 6.55% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.32% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.79% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.61%
1-2 @ 8% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-1 @ 6.49% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4.88% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-3 @ 4.01% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-3 @ 3.29% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.45% (-0.047 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.51% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.24% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-4 @ 0.92% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 35.29%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Kristiansund 2-1 Lillestrom
Sunday, August 4 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Lillestrom 2-2 Sarpsborg
Sunday, July 28 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Lillestrom 3-1 Stromsgodset
Saturday, July 13 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Molde 3-0 Lillestrom
Sunday, July 7 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Lillestrom 2-1 KFUM
Thursday, June 27 at 8.15pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Tromso 1-2 Lillestrom
Sunday, June 2 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Molde 3-0 Cercle Brugge
Thursday, August 8 at 6pm in Europa League
Last Game: Silkeborg 3-2 Molde
Thursday, August 1 at 6.15pm in Europa League
Last Game: Viking FK 1-0 Molde
Sunday, July 28 at 6.15pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Molde 3-1 Silkeborg
Thursday, July 25 at 6pm in Europa League
Last Game: Molde 2-3 KFUM
Saturday, July 20 at 7.15pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Fredrikstad 0-0 Molde
Saturday, July 13 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien


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