SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 61.3%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Tromso IL had a probability of 18.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.13%) and 1-0 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.29%), while for a Tromso IL win it was 1-2 (5.03%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Molde | Draw | Tromso IL |
61.3% ( -0.01) | 20.25% ( 0.01) | 18.44% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 58.27% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.26% ( -0.02) | 37.74% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.01% ( -0.02) | 59.98% ( 0.03) |
| Molde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.1% ( -0.01) | 11.89% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.78% ( -0.02) | 37.21% ( 0.02) |
| Tromso IL Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.13% ( -0.01) | 33.86% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.46% ( -0.01) | 70.53% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Molde | Draw | Tromso IL |
| 2-1 @ 9.89% 2-0 @ 9.13% ( 0)1-0 @ 8.57% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 7.02% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.48% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.8% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.74% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.45% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.02% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.59% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.47% ( -0)Other @ 4.15% Total : 61.3% | 1-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.35% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.03% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0)Other @ 0.22% Total : 20.25% | 1-2 @ 5.03% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.36% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.36% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.82% ( 0)Other @ 2.95% Total : 18.44% |
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