SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Lillestrom | 13 | 15 | 30 |
| 2 | Molde | 13 | 11 | 27 |
| 3 | Bodo/Glimt | 13 | 10 | 22 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | HamKam | 12 | 3 | 16 |
| 11 | Tromso IL | 11 | -3 | 13 |
| 12 | Sandefjord | 11 | -4 | 13 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 63.19%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Tromso IL had a probability of 17.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.56%) and 1-0 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.12%), while for a Tromso IL win it was 1-2 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Molde | Draw | Tromso IL |
63.19% ( -0.42) | 19.78% ( 0.27) | 17.03% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 57.06% ( -0.66) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.03% ( -1.01) | 37.97% ( 1.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.77% ( -1.09) | 60.23% ( 1.09) |
| Molde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.54% ( -0.41) | 11.45% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.73% ( -0.89) | 36.27% ( 0.89) |
| Tromso IL Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.44% ( -0.45) | 35.56% ( 0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.67% ( -0.47) | 72.33% ( 0.47) |
| Score Analysis |
| Molde | Draw | Tromso IL |
| 2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.56% ( 0.15)1-0 @ 8.83% ( 0.28)3-1 @ 7.14% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 6.91% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.87% ( -0.12)4-0 @ 3.74% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 3.69% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 2% ( -0.09)5-1 @ 1.68% ( -0.08)5-0 @ 1.62% ( -0.06)Other @ 4.27% Total : 63.19% | 1-1 @ 9.12% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 4.07% ( 0.2)3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.2% Total : 19.78% | 1-2 @ 4.72% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 4.21% ( 0.15)0-2 @ 2.18% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.54% Total : 17.03% |
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