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Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 15, 2024 at 6pm UK
Alfheim Stadion
KL

Tromso
0 - 1
Kilmarnock


Watson (90+5'), Kvalvagnes Guddal (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Skjaervik (11')
Donnelly (50'), McCrorie (54'), Findlay (85'), McKenzie (90+4'), Haugaard (90+4'), Murray (90+5')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kilmarnock 2-2 Tromso
Thursday, August 8 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Kilmarnock 0-3 St Johnstone
Sunday, August 11 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Tromso IL 3-1 Kilmarnock (Tromso IL win 5-3 on aggregate)

Despite their late disappointment last week, Tromso are still in the driving seat heading into their home leg on level terms, and we back them to outclass Kilmarnock in Norway and progress in Europa Conference League qualifying. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tromso IL win with a probability of 56.61%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 20.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tromso IL win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.04%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.95%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 0-1 (6.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Tromso ILDrawKilmarnock
56.61% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06) 23.04% (0.024000000000001 0.02) 20.35% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 52.12% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.54% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)47.46% (0.055 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.33% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)69.67% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Tromso IL Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.45% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)16.55% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.67% (-0.07 -0.07)46.32% (0.07 0.07)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.46% (0.0049999999999955 0)37.53% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.68% (0.004999999999999 0)74.32% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Score Analysis
    Tromso IL 56.59%
    Kilmarnock 20.35%
    Draw 23.04%
Tromso ILDrawKilmarnock
1-0 @ 11.17% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 10.04% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.85% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 6.03% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.9% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.89% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 2.71% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.66% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.3% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 0.98% (-0.004 -0)
5-1 @ 0.96% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 56.59%
1-1 @ 10.95% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.21% (0.014 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.83% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.04%
0-1 @ 6.09% (0.014 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.37% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.98% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.75% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.58%
0-3 @ 0.97% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 20.35%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Kilmarnock 2-2 Tromso
Thursday, August 8 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Rosenborg 1-0 Tromso
Sunday, August 4 at 6.15pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Tromso 1-0 KuPS
Thursday, August 1 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Tromso 0-0 Kristiansund
Sunday, July 28 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: KuPS 0-1 Tromso
Thursday, July 25 at 4pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Stromsgodset 0-1 Tromso
Sunday, July 21 at 1.30pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Kilmarnock 0-3 St Johnstone
Sunday, August 11 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Kilmarnock 2-2 Tromso
Thursday, August 8 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Celtic 4-0 Kilmarnock
Sunday, August 4 at 4.30pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Cercle Brugge 1-0 Kilmarnock
Thursday, August 1 at 7pm in Europa League
Last Game: Kilmarnock 1-1 Cercle Brugge
Thursday, July 25 at 7.30pm in Europa League
Last Game: Kilmarnock 5-0 Barrow
Friday, July 19 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 3


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