Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cove Rangers win with a probability of 49.26%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 27.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cove Rangers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.89%) and 0-2 (7.73%). The likeliest Montrose win was 2-1 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.
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