SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kecskemeti TE win with a probability of 41.77%. A win for MTK had a probability of 32.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kecskemeti TE win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest MTK win was 1-0 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| MTK | Draw | Kecskemeti TE |
32.73% ( 0.24) | 25.49% ( 0.07) | 41.77% ( -0.32) |
| Both teams to score 55.26% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.45% ( -0.23) | 48.54% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.33% ( -0.22) | 70.67% ( 0.21) |
| MTK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.86% ( 0.04) | 28.14% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.18% ( 0.05) | 63.82% ( -0.06) |
| Kecskemeti TE Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.9% ( -0.26) | 23.09% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.06% ( -0.38) | 56.94% ( 0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| MTK | Draw | Kecskemeti TE |
| 1-0 @ 8.24% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 7.66% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 5.22% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 3.24% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.37% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.21% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.77% Total : 32.73% | 1-1 @ 12.07% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.5% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.48% | 0-1 @ 9.52% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.85% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 6.98% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 4.32% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 3.41% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.58% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.11% Total : 41.77% |
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