SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ujpest win with a probability of 39.99%. A win for MTK had a probability of 35.42% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ujpest win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.1%) and 0-2 (6.14%). The likeliest MTK win was 2-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| MTK | Draw | Ujpest |
35.42% ( 0.03) | 24.6% ( 0.06) | 39.99% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 59.05% ( -0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.08% ( -0.29) | 43.92% ( 0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.69% ( -0.28) | 66.31% ( 0.29) |
| MTK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.66% ( -0.12) | 24.34% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.27% ( -0.17) | 58.73% ( 0.18) |
| Ujpest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.04% ( -0.16) | 21.96% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.75% ( -0.25) | 55.25% ( 0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| MTK | Draw | Ujpest |
| 2-1 @ 8.09% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.55% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 5.34% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.81% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.89% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.51% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.35% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.86% Total : 35.42% | 1-1 @ 11.44% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.13% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 5.34% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.59% | 1-2 @ 8.68% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.1% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 6.14% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.39% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 3.1% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.1% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.66% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.46% Total : 39.99% |
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