SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gomel win with a probability of 60.07%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Naftan had a probability of 17.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gomel win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.62%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a Naftan win it was 1-0 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gomel would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Naftan | Draw | Gomel |
17.99% ( 0.38) | 21.94% ( 0.19) | 60.07% ( -0.57) |
| Both teams to score 51.6% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.87% ( -0.21) | 46.13% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.57% ( -0.2) | 68.43% ( 0.2) |
| Naftan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.66% ( 0.32) | 39.34% ( -0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.96% ( 0.3) | 76.04% ( -0.3) |
| Gomel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.07% ( -0.25) | 14.93% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.67% ( -0.48) | 43.33% ( 0.48) |
| Score Analysis |
| Naftan | Draw | Gomel |
| 1-0 @ 5.48% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 4.86% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 2.56% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 1.51% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.44% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.14% Total : 17.99% | 1-1 @ 10.42% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 5.88% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 4.62% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 21.94% | 0-1 @ 11.17% 0-2 @ 10.62% ( -0.09)1-2 @ 9.91% ( -0)0-3 @ 6.73% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 6.28% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 3.2% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 2.99% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.93% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 1.22% ( -0.04)1-5 @ 1.14% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.49% Total : 60.06% |
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