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Belarusian Premier League | Gameweek 5
Apr 19, 2024 at 3pm UK
Stadyen Junatsva

Smorgon
2 - 2
Gomel

Lutsevich (23'), Leonovich (61')
Shubovich (82')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Yatskevich (33'), Junior Effaghe (63')
Nazarenko (35'), Matveichyk (53'), Grishchenko (89')
Coverage of the Belarusian Premier League clash between Smorgon and Gomel.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Naftan 1-1 Smorgon
Sunday, April 14 at 12pm in Belarusian Premier League
Last Game: Gomel 0-1 Dinamo Minsk
Saturday, April 13 at 2pm in Belarusian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gomel win with a probability of 46.76%. A win for Smorgon had a probability of 26.99% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gomel win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.11%) and 0-2 (8.72%). The likeliest Smorgon win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
SmorgonDrawGomel
26.99% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 26.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 46.76% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Both teams to score 49.79% (0.012 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.79% (0.015999999999998 0.02)54.21% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.38% (0.013000000000002 0.01)75.61% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Smorgon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.8% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)35.2% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.05% (0.0039999999999978 0)71.95%
Gomel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.83% (0.013999999999996 0.01)23.16% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.95% (0.016000000000005 0.02)57.04% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Smorgon 26.99%
    Gomel 46.75%
    Draw 26.25%
SmorgonDrawGomel
1-0 @ 8.51% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-1 @ 6.5%
2-0 @ 4.45% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 2.26%
3-2 @ 1.66% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 1.55% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 26.99%
1-1 @ 12.45%
0-0 @ 8.15% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 4.75% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 26.25%
0-1 @ 11.92%
1-2 @ 9.11% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 8.72% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-3 @ 4.44% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 4.25% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 2.32% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 1.62% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.55% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 46.75%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Naftan 1-1 Smorgon
Sunday, April 14 at 12pm in Belarusian Premier League
Last Game: FC Minsk 2-3 Smorgon
Friday, April 5 at 5pm in Belarusian Premier League
Last Game: Dinamo Brest 4-1 Smorgon
Friday, March 29 at 4pm in Belarusian Premier League
Last Game: Dinamo Minsk 5-0 Smorgon
Saturday, March 16 at 2pm in Belarusian Premier League
Last Game: Smorgon 3-1 Dinamo Brest
Sunday, November 26 at 11.45am in Belarusian Premier League
Last Game: Dinamo Minsk 7-0 Smorgon
Saturday, November 11 at 2.30pm in Belarusian Premier League
Last Game: Gomel 0-1 Dinamo Minsk
Saturday, April 13 at 2pm in Belarusian Premier League
Last Game: BATE 1-3 Gomel
Saturday, April 6 at 2pm in Belarusian Premier League
Last Game: Gomel 2-3 Neman
Sunday, March 31 at 11am in Belarusian Premier League
Last Game: Slutsk 1-1 Gomel
Sunday, March 17 at 12pm in Belarusian Premier League
Last Game: Gomel 4-5 Slutsk
Saturday, December 2 at 11am in Belarusian Premier League
Last Game: Slavia Mozyr 0-0 Gomel
Saturday, November 25 at 4pm in Belarusian Premier League


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