SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Naftan win with a probability of 39.28%. A win for Smorgon had a probability of 35.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Naftan win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.09%). The likeliest Smorgon win was 1-2 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Naftan | Draw | Smorgon |
39.28% ( -0.13) | 24.76% ( -0.03) | 35.96% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 58.53% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.37% ( 0.14) | 44.63% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.01% ( 0.14) | 66.99% ( -0.14) |
| Naftan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.38% ( -0) | 22.62% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.76% ( -0) | 56.24% ( 0) |
| Smorgon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.64% ( 0.15) | 24.36% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.23% ( 0.21) | 58.77% ( -0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Naftan | Draw | Smorgon |
| 2-1 @ 8.6% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.19% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 6.09% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4.26% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.02% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.01% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.58% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.12% ( 0)Other @ 2.3% Total : 39.28% | 1-1 @ 11.56% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.07% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.51% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.76% | 1-2 @ 8.17% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.78% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.49% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.84% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.86% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.59% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.36% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.95% Total : 35.96% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
