SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gomel win with a probability of 48.34%. A win for Naftan had a probability of 26.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gomel win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest Naftan win was 0-1 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gomel would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gomel | Draw | Naftan |
48.34% ( 0.23) | 24.88% ( -0.11) | 26.78% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 53.81% ( 0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.13% ( 0.4) | 48.87% ( -0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.04% ( 0.36) | 70.96% ( -0.36) |
| Gomel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.75% ( 0.26) | 20.25% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.41% ( 0.41) | 52.59% ( -0.41) |
| Naftan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.48% ( 0.12) | 32.52% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.94% ( 0.13) | 69.05% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gomel | Draw | Naftan |
| 1-0 @ 10.51% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 9.43% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 8.4% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.02% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 4.47% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.82% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.01% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.79% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.76% Total : 48.33% | 1-1 @ 11.81% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.59% ( -0.11)2-2 @ 5.3% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.88% | 0-1 @ 7.4% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 6.64% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.15% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.48% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.57% Total : 26.78% |
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