SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 37.51%. A win for Machida Zelvia had a probability of 36.43% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Machida Zelvia win was 0-1 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nagoya Grampus | Draw | Machida Zelvia |
37.51% ( -0.01) | 26.05% ( 0.11) | 36.43% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 54.06% ( -0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.61% ( -0.49) | 50.39% ( 0.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.67% ( -0.43) | 72.33% ( 0.44) |
| Nagoya Grampus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.83% ( -0.23) | 26.16% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.75% ( -0.31) | 61.24% ( 0.31) |
| Machida Zelvia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.22% ( -0.29) | 26.78% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.94% ( -0.38) | 62.06% ( 0.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nagoya Grampus | Draw | Machida Zelvia |
| 1-0 @ 9.39% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 8.3% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.3% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.71% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.82% 3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.37% Total : 37.51% | 1-1 @ 12.37% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.01% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 5.47% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.13% Total : 26.04% | 0-1 @ 9.23% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 8.15% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 6.08% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.58% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.14% Total : 36.44% |
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