Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 38.31%. A win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 33.92% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.08%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 (10.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Nagoya Grampus in this match.

Result
Gamba Osaka	Draw	Nagoya Grampus
33.92% ( 0.07)	27.78% ( -0.13)	38.31% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 48.31% (

0.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.46% (

0.48)

57.54% (

-0.48)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.68% (

0.38)

78.33% (

-0.38)

Gamba Osaka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.15% (

0.29)

31.85% (

-0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.71% (

0.33)

68.29% (

-0.33)

Nagoya Grampus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.9% (

0.27)

29.11% (

-0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.97% (

0.33)

65.03% (

-0.33)

Score Analysis

Gamba Osaka 33.91%

Nagoya Grampus 38.31%

Draw 27.78%

Gamba Osaka	Draw	Nagoya Grampus
1-0 @ 10.6% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 7.49% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 6.07% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.86% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 2.31% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.76% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.82% Total : 33.91%	1-1 @ 13.09% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 9.27% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 4.62% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.78%	0-1 @ 11.44% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 8.08% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 7.06% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.32% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.91% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.57% Total : 38.31%