Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 38.31%. A win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 33.92% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.08%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 (10.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Nagoya Grampus in this match.
0.07) 
-0.13) 
