AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 3, 2023 at 5pm UK
Azadi Stadium
Mehdi Janmaleki (45+9')
Mohammad Houshmand (38')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Nassaji Mazandaran and Al-Hilal.
Form, Standings, Stats
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 89.2%. A draw had a probability of 8.7% and a win for Nassaji Mazandaran had a probability of 2.09%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 0-2 with a probability of 17.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (16.76%) and 0-1 (12.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (4.37%), while for a Nassaji Mazandaran win it was 1-0 (1.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 16.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.
| Result |
| Nassaji Mazandaran | Draw | Al-Hilal |
2.09% ( -0.35) | 8.72% ( -1.24) | 89.2% ( 1.59) |
| Both teams to score 23.41% ( 0.07) |
| 60.53% ( 3.57) | 39.47% ( -3.57) |
| 38.19% ( 3.63) | 61.81% ( -3.63) |
| 24.86% ( -0.2) | 75.14% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 3.38% ( -0.06) | 96.62% ( 0.06) |
| 94.18% ( 1.04) | 5.82% ( -1.04) |
