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Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 5
Sep 1, 2023 at 7pm UK
King Abdullah Sports City

Al Ittihad
3 - 4
Al-Hilal

Romarinho (16'), Benzema (38'), Hamdallah (45+8')
Hawsawi (41'), Bamsaud (63'), Al-Amri (90+12')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Mitrovic (20', 60', 65' pen.), Al-Dawsari (71')
Albulayhi (88')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al Wahda 0-3 Al Ittihad
Monday, August 28 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Hilal 2-0 Al Ettifaq
Monday, August 28 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al Ittihad 2-2 Al-Hilal

Given the number of stars and talents scattered across both teams, we anticipate a thrilling affair at the Prince Abdullah Al Faisal Stadium. Both sides are evenly matched on paper and we see them cancelling out each other's efforts in a high-scoring stalemate. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 43.34%. A win for Al Ittihad had a probability of 29.26% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (8.24%). The likeliest Al Ittihad win was 1-0 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.

Result
Al IttihadDrawAl-Hilal
29.26% (-0.853 -0.85) 27.39% (0.044999999999998 0.04) 43.34% (0.808 0.81)
Both teams to score 47.88% (-0.538 -0.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.64% (-0.486 -0.49)57.35% (0.485 0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.82% (-0.389 -0.39)78.18% (0.387 0.39)
Al Ittihad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.91% (-0.904 -0.9)35.08% (0.90300000000001 0.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.17% (-0.96 -0.96)71.83% (0.958 0.96)
Al-Hilal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.76% (0.19500000000001 0.2)26.24% (-0.197 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.65% (0.264 0.26)61.34% (-0.265 -0.27)
Score Analysis
    Al Ittihad 29.26%
    Al-Hilal 43.33%
    Draw 27.39%
Al IttihadDrawAl-Hilal
1-0 @ 9.64% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
2-1 @ 6.76% (-0.171 -0.17)
2-0 @ 5.05% (-0.157 -0.16)
3-1 @ 2.36% (-0.12 -0.12)
3-0 @ 1.76% (-0.1 -0.1)
3-2 @ 1.58% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 29.26%
1-1 @ 12.9%
0-0 @ 9.21% (0.169 0.17)
2-2 @ 4.52% (-0.088 -0.09)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.39%
0-1 @ 12.31% (0.29 0.29)
1-2 @ 8.63% (0.045 0.04)
0-2 @ 8.24% (0.243 0.24)
1-3 @ 3.85% (0.042 0.04)
0-3 @ 3.68% (0.128 0.13)
2-3 @ 2.02% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.29% (0.022 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.23% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 43.33%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Al Wahda 0-3 Al Ittihad
Monday, August 28 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Riyadh 0-4 Al Ittihad
Thursday, August 24 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Ittihad 2-0 Al Tai
Saturday, August 19 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Raed 0-3 Al Ittihad
Monday, August 14 at 4pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Salzburg 3-4 Al Ittihad
Sunday, August 7 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Al-Hilal 2-0 Al Ettifaq
Monday, August 28 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Raed 0-4 Al-Hilal
Thursday, August 24 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Hilal 1-1 Al Fayha
Saturday, August 19 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Abha 1-3 Al-Hilal
Monday, August 14 at 4pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Urawa 1-0 Al-Hilal
Saturday, May 6 at 10am in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Al-Hilal 1-1 Urawa
Saturday, April 29 at 6.30pm in AFC Champions League


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