Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 4
Aug 28, 2023 at 7pm UK
Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium
We said: Al-Hilal 3-1 Al Ettifaq
Goals are not expected to be a problem here given the firepower on display from both teams. That said, we fully expect the home side to come away with all three points come the sound of the final whistle.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 55.91%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Al Ettifaq had a probability of 20.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.97%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for an Al Ettifaq win it was 0-1 (6.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.
Result |
Al-Hilal | Draw | Al Ettifaq |
55.91% ( 0.04) | 23.3% ( -0.02) | 20.8% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 52.01% ( 0.03) |
52.05% ( 0.05) | 47.95% ( -0.05) |
29.87% ( 0.05) | 70.12% ( -0.05) |
83.02% ( 0.04) | 16.97% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.92% ( 0.06) | 47.08% ( -0.06) |
62.64% ( 0.01) | 37.36% ( -0.01) |