SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 61.06%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Al Shabab had a probability of 18.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.11%) and 1-0 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.32%), while for an Al Shabab win it was 1-2 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Al-Hilal in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Al-Hilal.
| Result | ||
| Al-Hilal | Draw | Al Shabab |
61.06% ( -0.2) | 20.33% ( 0.07) | 18.6% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 58.29% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.15% ( -0.14) | 37.85% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.89% ( -0.15) | 60.1% ( 0.15) |
| Al-Hilal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88% ( -0.1) | 11.99% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.57% ( -0.2) | 37.43% ( 0.2) |
| Al Shabab Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.23% ( 0.05) | 33.76% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.57% ( 0.05) | 70.42% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al-Hilal | Draw | Al Shabab |
| 2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.11% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 8.59% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.99% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 6.44% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.8% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.71% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 3.41% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 2.01% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.02)Other @ 4.11% Total : 61.06% | 1-1 @ 9.32% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.05% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0)Other @ 0.22% Total : 20.33% | 1-2 @ 5.06% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 4.4% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.98% Total : 18.6% |
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