SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neman win with a probability of 40.62%. A win for Gomel had a probability of 32.44% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Neman win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Gomel win was 0-1 (9.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Neman | Draw | Gomel |
40.62% ( 0.09) | 26.95% ( -0.01) | 32.44% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 50.49% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.36% ( 0.03) | 54.64% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.03% ( 0.03) | 75.97% ( -0.03) |
| Neman Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.57% ( 0.06) | 26.43% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.4% ( 0.08) | 61.59% ( -0.08) |
| Gomel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.62% ( -0.04) | 31.37% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.26% ( -0.04) | 67.74% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Neman | Draw | Gomel |
| 1-0 @ 11.03% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.51% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.78% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.26% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.19% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.26% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.17% Total : 40.61% | 1-1 @ 12.79% 0-0 @ 8.29% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.93% ( 0)Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.95% | 0-1 @ 9.61% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.41% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.57% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.91% ( -0)Other @ 2.92% Total : 32.44% |
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